Trader
Classify the regime, commit by node
Tomorrow's solar collapses at 18:00. Do I hold capacity for the day-ahead spike or commit to the aFRR band now?
What Almena shows you
The regime forecast, crossed against the constraint map.
The answer depends on where the asset sits. Almena's regime forecast classifies the trading day before intraday sessions open, spike day or flat day, then crosses it against the constraint map.
A node in a structural upward-constraint zone is on the right side of the grid at that hour: the spike is physically deliverable, hold capacity. A node in a downward-constraint zone gets the opposite signal: the system price spikes but the dispatch won't clear the network, take the aFRR band.
Same forecast, two different decisions, determined entirely by location.
| Node | Regime | Constraint | Hour | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASOMADAAndalusia | spike day | ↑upward | 18:00 | hold capacity |
| ACECACastilla-LM | spike day | ↑upward | 18:00 | hold capacity |
| ALMARAZExtremadura | spike day | ↓downward | 18:00 | take aFRR band |
| BESCANÓCataluña | flat day | ↑upward | 19:00 | hold capacity |
| COFRENTESValencia | flat day | ↓downward | 19:00 | take aFRR band |
| GUILLENAAndalusia | spike day | ↓downward | 18:00 | take aFRR band |
One signal applied to every asset, no location dimension.
What Almena replaces
One national forecast, replaced by one per node.
A single system price forecast applied uniformly across assets in different network positions, the default for any operator running more than one site across Spain.
Integrate with the tools
you already use.
Query forecasts, ramp alerts and bid recommendations from Claude, ChatGPT, Excel, Power BI and any workflow your team lives in, with the same data that powers the workspace.
Claude
ChatGPT
Cursor
Gemini
Excel
Power BI
Slack
Google Sheets
Notion
Zapier
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